Archive for the ‘Betting’ Category

NFL Betting – Week 4

Sunday, October 4th, 2009

Last week I was flirting with disaster, and got lucky doubling or nothing on the Sunday night game. That said, I must like taking punishment, because I’m back at it again. Here are the picks:

Teasers:

$55 Bengals over Browns -0.5 and Bengals/Browns over 32 WIN

$55 Saints over Jets -1 and Saints/Jets over 39.5 LOSS

$55 Steelers over Chargers -1 and Steelers/Chargers under 49.5 TBD

Single Bet:

Ravens over Patriots +1.5 LOSS

NFL Betting – Week 3

Sunday, September 27th, 2009

Last week was kind of a rough week. My bet on the Giants/Cowboys game didn’t end up going through because of some error on the Bodog website, but I ended up winning $100 on the Monday night game, making me -$30 on the week last week but +$140 on the season.

My picks for this week are:

Teasers:

$55 Giants over Bucks -1 and Giants/Bucks over 38

$55 Bills over Saints +12 and Bills/Saints over 46

$55 Redskins over Lions -0.5 and Redskins/Lions over 32.5 (part of my always bet against the Lions strategy)

Parlay:

$33 (to win $80.40) Titans over Jets +3 and Colts over Cardinals +2.5

NFL Betting – Week 2

Sunday, September 20th, 2009

What’s up guys? I had a pretty good week betting last week, winning a total of $170 (If the fucking Bears had just held onto the football it would have been another $110). Anyway, I forgot to post my bets for this week on here, but I did pretty poorly, particularly compared to last week’s results.

3 Team Teaser (6 points)

$100 Titans over Texans -1, Vikings over Lions -4, Patriots over Jets +2

Result- LOSS. Fucking Pats your defense was embarrassing against the rook QB

Single Bet

$30 Carolina over Atlanta.

Result- LOSS. Really didn’t expect the Falcons to beat the Panthers. They didn’t look very good against the Eagles last week, but I thought that was because they were playing the Eagles. Lesson learned I guess?

Teaser

$55 Steelers over Bears +3 and Steelers/Bears under 43.5

Result- PUSH. Kind of lame, the Steelers missed 2 field goals at the end, but at least I get my money back.

$55 Giants over Dallas +9 and Giants/Cowboys over 39

Result- TBD

NFL Betting – Week 1

Wednesday, September 9th, 2009

It’s that time of year again! I did really poorly last year, but I’m looking forward to killing it this year. Week 1 is always a toss up because you don’t know how people are coming out, but there are some teams that you always know how they’re going to come out, and I’m feeling good about my picks. The only scary thing is that I probably made too many of them, so we’ll see how things go.

6 Point Teasers:

$55 – Colts over Jaguars -1 and Cowboys over Bucks

$110 – Giants over Redskins -1/2 and Giants/Skins OVER 31

$55 – Steelers over Titans -1/2 and Steelers/Titans UNDER 41

Parlay

Eagles over Panthers -2.5 and Bears over Packers +3.5

Twitter Wars! Calling vs. Texting

Sunday, April 26th, 2009

So it all started when I checked out this clip from a TSB Magazine newsletter (by the way guys, if you’re not signed up for their newsletter, definitely get on that. TSB offers one of the most content rich newsletters out there, with all kinds of free ebooks and podcasts with all of your favorite gurus. They’re great guys, and are really doing their best to bring you an impartial view of the community and its material). Now I’ve never paraded myself around as an expert or a “Master Pick-Up Artist,” but there are a couple of things that I am VERY good at, and one of them is online game, and in particular texting and instant messaging. So when I saw this clip, I had to at least start a conversation.

If you don’t have time to check out the clip, the jist of it is that there’s this really cute blondie who’s frustrated because she can’t get a boyfriend. She talks about how she wants a man, and then goes on to talk about how these guys are texting her rather than calling her (thus unmasculine clearly). She refuses to respond to texts from guys, and hearing an example of a text I don’t really blame her, but she basically says that if you don’t call her she won’t respond to you.

This is where I decided to step in. I’m sorry hun, you’re cute, but that is just such a ridiculous reason to rule a guy out. It’s a trend that I’ve actually started to notice more and more lately; sexually frustrated women having these entitlement complexes (ehhem, Simone Grant) that are screwing up their dating lives. What makes you think you even deserve a phone call from me? In the same way that you gave your number out to 5 other guys, you should be assuming that I’m texting 5 other girls. I’m not going to just give you my undivided attention after meeting you for 10 minutes on the street and getting your number. That’s not the way it works.

Also, most girls these days, at least in my age range, hate talking on the phone. They grew up instant messaging on aol in 6th and 7th grade, and talking on the phone is just not something they like to do very often. That’s not to say that I don’t talk on the phone. In fact, usually I ping with a text and then call when she responds. I had a great example of one such conversation today.

This is a girl who emailed me on Match like a week after I emailed her, but her response was really good so I responded to her email and asked her for her number. 6 days go by and I figure that I must have offended her or whatever because I didn’t hear back. Then today, I go into match and realize that she had replied to me the same day, I just didn’t see it because it didn’t get forwarded into my regular email inbox. The following text message conversation ensued:

Hammer: Hey UNCGirl, it’s Hammer from match. Sorry for the week delay, your second email didn’t forward to my regular email inbox. Any big plans today?

UNCGirl: Hey there! Headed to my little cousin’s 2nd birthday party- very exciting, :-) How about you?

I call her immediately after receiving the text, she doesn’t pick up, which by the way, need I say more? Clearly some women prefer to text than talk on the phone. I’d go as far as to say that most do, until they know you better.

Hammer: Does sound exciting. Call me back

UNCGirl: I’m just getting ready. I’ll call you in a few! :)

Hammer: Mhm… Look it’s totally fine if you’re a 67 year old man. Not my thing, but I don’t judge :)

UNCGirl: Hahaha well don’t judge before you meet me! Saggy 67 year old balls just might be your thing and you just don’t know it yet. Drying my hair, call in 15!

Hammer: Well aren’t you sassy! I love it. What time does this birthday party go until? There’s a street fair in my neighborhood and I need a body guyard to protect me.

UNCGirl: Probably only 6ish but I’m two hours from the city.

Hammer: Sadface. I guess I’ll be resigned to my humble non-street fair attending existence.

UNCGirl: I have six vicious looking baby kittens that you could borrow for protection against the evils of the street fair?

Hammer: Don’t say things like that. I’m totally the type of person who would take you up on it.

She calls and we talk for a while. I tease her some and just pretty much be myself. I’d say 80% chance that we spend the night together on our first date.

So what does this text conversation teach us? Well let’s take a look at what I’ve accomplished here. I’ve set the frame of being non-judgmental. The conversation went sexual quickly, so for every interaction we have from now on, sex will be totally fair game. Also, since she went sexual first, she’s now in a sexual aggressor frame. She accepted this frame by asking me if we should make plans to hang out this week when we talked on the phone.

We had a super fun conversation on the phone and I’m really looking forward to hanging out with her. I told her I’d give her a call later to make plans. If I wanted to, I’m sure I could turn that phone conversation into a lot more, but there’s no real need unless our schedules don’t work this week.

Back to the point at hand though: So I send Scot McKay an @ reply telling him that I think it’s bad advice to tell guys to call girls, and the shit storm starts. Scot was very civil and I really like the guy, I’ve always liked his stuff, particularly when it comes to relationship management, but there were definitely some fanboys who stepped in (@SidSmitty) who were a little overboard. Also, I started to make the point about entitlement issues and referenced @SimoneGrant, which brought up a whole new conversation (Speaking of which, Simone, trying to insult my intelligence just makes you look insecure, and I know it was kind of a low blow calling you out for being single at 39, but at least I’m not being totally baseless like you are). It’s way too long a conversation and spans 4 days, but it’s definitely been a lot of fun. I do respect Scot a lot for holding his frame and being civil about it, as compared with someone like Smitty or Simone who came off as needy and insecure respectively. I feel like I have a lot more to say on this topic, but I’m off to do some day game so it’ll have to wait.

NFL Betting: Final Stop on the Road to the Big Dance

Friday, January 16th, 2009

Wow did I luck out last week. Picking the Giants was obviously a mistake, as Eli clearly needed his self mutilating receiver to carry the offense in the playoffs. I did luck out on the over/under though, and wound up pushing that bet. I don’t fully understand why you get a push if you push one and lose the other, I would think that the loss should really trump the push, at least that’s how I’d set it up. Anyway, it’s the second time it has happened to me this season, so I was ready for it. My other two bets were money, although the Ravens definitely gave me a scare. I came out $80 up.

It’s a shame that the Giants and Eagles had to face eachother last week instead of in the NFC Championship game, because I firmly believe that the NFC East had the four best teams in the NFL (Giants, Cowboys, Eagles, Redskins), but with that game settled I really think that the Eagles are going to win their first Superbowl. I also think that the Ravens will beat the Steelers, although Flacco has to stop throwing into double coverage because that shit isn’t going to fly against Pittsburg. Anyway, here are my surefire picks:

$55 6  Point Teaser – Ravens over Steelers (+12), Ravens/Steelers Over 28. I think it will be a low scoring 17/14 game. I’m not sure who will win, but I think that a 12 point advantage is covering my bases here.

$55 6 Point Teaser – Eagles over Cardinals (+1.5). Eagles/Cardinals over 41. This game should be a shootout, although I think that Philly’s defense is substantially better than that of Arizona, and this game won’t be very close.

Free Sports Betting

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

Found via Thrillist: Free betting site CentSports.com deposits $0.10 into your account upon sign up (from advertising dollars), and allows you to bet for free with the possibility of real cash outs. I just heard about it today so I haven’t tried it out, but I definitely will this weekend. It is my understanding that the top payout thus far has been over $1000, so I suppose if you know what you’re doing you can make a killing.

NFL Betting: Playoffs Baby!

Saturday, January 10th, 2009

This was a rough season for me in the gambling department, and I ended up losing the money that I put into my gambling account by week 7 or 8. Never fun. But now it’s playoff time, and I’m ready to win some of that back.

Despite the craziness of the season, I feel like the playoffs are going to be relatively straightforward. Then again, I’ve been wrong before, so we’ll see. Here are my picks:

$55 6 point Tease – Giants over Eagles +2, Giants and Eagles over 34

$40 Moneyline – Ravens over Titans, +125

$33 Chargers and Steelers over 38

NFL Week 5 Betting

Saturday, October 4th, 2008

Alright guys, I’m hurting big time from last week, so lets see how well I recover. I feel much better about my bets this week, although I’m in major jeopardy of dipping below my initial investment of $330. I am very excited to have an opportunity to feel really good about putting my money on the Bills, the only real New York team! Just so we’re clear, as usual I will probably make a couple more over/under bets as the games approach, but for now these are my bets:

$110 Bills over Arizona 0 spread -110 odds. Is this a joke? The 2-2 Cardinals facing off against my 4-0 Bills and they aren’t even being given points? I was offended when I saw this spread. So offended in fact, that I decided that I need to take full advantage of it. Granted the Bills have, with the exception of Jacksonville, only beaten bunk teams. But the Cardinals have only beaten bad teams as well, and they got pounded by a mediocre Jets team!

$55 Ravens over Titans 0 spread at +220 odds. I don’t know why the bookies seem to think that the Ravens are going to lose this game after coming off a huge win over Pittsburg, but for some reason they are making the Titans a favorite, which to me is absolute nonsense when the Ravens are probably the best team in the AFC.

Parlay $55, got to love that 6 point tease:

Eagles over Redskins, 0 spread.

Chargers over Dolphins, 0.5 spread.

NFL Week 4: Bets

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

I’ve been successful thus far placing my bets, winning about $110 last week and $160 the week before. Despite my success, however, I felt a little slighted last week with the Colts losing and turning in the last minute after taking the lead with a minute and a half, robbing me of $210.  Lets see if I can do any better this week.

In addition to betting the NFL this week, I have also put some money down on a couple of college games. College football tends to be quite unpredictable (e.g. USC losing on Thursday), so it’s important to choose carefully when making picks. That said, I also think that there is a lot of room in college football to exploit biases among the sports media and betting fans. Betting on the SEC is my favorite way to do this.

The SEC is head and shoulders above every other conference, but as a result of beating eachother up all the time, they get pounded in the BCS rankings. Also, there is a major Big 10 and PAC 10 media bias as well as a Notre Dame bias which can easily be exploited. Here are my college football picks for the week:

TEASER: $55 Georgia over Alabama -0.5 and Auburn over Tennessee -1.0

Regular Bet: $35 Purdue over Notre Dame with no spread and even odds.

NFL Bets

I don’t feel ultra-confident about very much this week in the way I did last week, so I hope I don’t totally fuck up by betting for the sake of betting. I’ve tried to spread my money across a bunch of games so that I won’t lose too bad. Having said that though, I do feel like all the bets that I’ve placed are good bets that should win.

$55 Jets over Cardinals -1.0

$35 Vikings over Tennessee +3.0 with even odds. The Vikings are due for a win and I think Adrian Peterson is going to have a big game.

Teaser: $55 Jacksonville over Houston -1.0 and Bengals over Cleveland +2.5.

$55 Over 40 on the Eagles vs. Bears

$35 Green Bay over Tampa Bay.